Given a sequence ${ X_{n} : n in mathbb{N} }$ of standard normally distributed random variables, what is the...











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I'm looking for a general formula that can be used to compute the probability that a sum of standard normal random variables is above a certain constant $a$. So for example the probability that $X_{1}+X_{2}+X_{3}+X_{4}<3$. I've tried to play around with the distribution of a sum of standard normal distributed random variables but wasn't able to come up with a real formula. Any help is appreciated.










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  • If they are independent, then the sum is a normal random variable.
    – gd1035
    Nov 20 at 20:28










  • @gd1035 They are indeed considered independent. In that case, what is the probability of the sum being smaller than some constant $a$?
    – S. Crim
    Nov 20 at 20:30










  • Hint: The variance of a sum of independent random variables is the sum of the variances.
    – Robert Israel
    Nov 20 at 20:34












  • @RobertIsrael Yeah I know that the $sum^n_{i=1} X_{i} sim N(0,n)$ but I remain unable to turn this into something that can tell me $mathbb{P}(sum^n_{i=1} X_{i}>a)$. Any hints for that?
    – S. Crim
    Nov 20 at 20:43

















up vote
0
down vote

favorite
1












I'm looking for a general formula that can be used to compute the probability that a sum of standard normal random variables is above a certain constant $a$. So for example the probability that $X_{1}+X_{2}+X_{3}+X_{4}<3$. I've tried to play around with the distribution of a sum of standard normal distributed random variables but wasn't able to come up with a real formula. Any help is appreciated.










share|cite|improve this question






















  • If they are independent, then the sum is a normal random variable.
    – gd1035
    Nov 20 at 20:28










  • @gd1035 They are indeed considered independent. In that case, what is the probability of the sum being smaller than some constant $a$?
    – S. Crim
    Nov 20 at 20:30










  • Hint: The variance of a sum of independent random variables is the sum of the variances.
    – Robert Israel
    Nov 20 at 20:34












  • @RobertIsrael Yeah I know that the $sum^n_{i=1} X_{i} sim N(0,n)$ but I remain unable to turn this into something that can tell me $mathbb{P}(sum^n_{i=1} X_{i}>a)$. Any hints for that?
    – S. Crim
    Nov 20 at 20:43















up vote
0
down vote

favorite
1









up vote
0
down vote

favorite
1






1





I'm looking for a general formula that can be used to compute the probability that a sum of standard normal random variables is above a certain constant $a$. So for example the probability that $X_{1}+X_{2}+X_{3}+X_{4}<3$. I've tried to play around with the distribution of a sum of standard normal distributed random variables but wasn't able to come up with a real formula. Any help is appreciated.










share|cite|improve this question













I'm looking for a general formula that can be used to compute the probability that a sum of standard normal random variables is above a certain constant $a$. So for example the probability that $X_{1}+X_{2}+X_{3}+X_{4}<3$. I've tried to play around with the distribution of a sum of standard normal distributed random variables but wasn't able to come up with a real formula. Any help is appreciated.







probability probability-theory statistics probability-distributions normal-distribution






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asked Nov 20 at 20:25









S. Crim

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  • If they are independent, then the sum is a normal random variable.
    – gd1035
    Nov 20 at 20:28










  • @gd1035 They are indeed considered independent. In that case, what is the probability of the sum being smaller than some constant $a$?
    – S. Crim
    Nov 20 at 20:30










  • Hint: The variance of a sum of independent random variables is the sum of the variances.
    – Robert Israel
    Nov 20 at 20:34












  • @RobertIsrael Yeah I know that the $sum^n_{i=1} X_{i} sim N(0,n)$ but I remain unable to turn this into something that can tell me $mathbb{P}(sum^n_{i=1} X_{i}>a)$. Any hints for that?
    – S. Crim
    Nov 20 at 20:43




















  • If they are independent, then the sum is a normal random variable.
    – gd1035
    Nov 20 at 20:28










  • @gd1035 They are indeed considered independent. In that case, what is the probability of the sum being smaller than some constant $a$?
    – S. Crim
    Nov 20 at 20:30










  • Hint: The variance of a sum of independent random variables is the sum of the variances.
    – Robert Israel
    Nov 20 at 20:34












  • @RobertIsrael Yeah I know that the $sum^n_{i=1} X_{i} sim N(0,n)$ but I remain unable to turn this into something that can tell me $mathbb{P}(sum^n_{i=1} X_{i}>a)$. Any hints for that?
    – S. Crim
    Nov 20 at 20:43


















If they are independent, then the sum is a normal random variable.
– gd1035
Nov 20 at 20:28




If they are independent, then the sum is a normal random variable.
– gd1035
Nov 20 at 20:28












@gd1035 They are indeed considered independent. In that case, what is the probability of the sum being smaller than some constant $a$?
– S. Crim
Nov 20 at 20:30




@gd1035 They are indeed considered independent. In that case, what is the probability of the sum being smaller than some constant $a$?
– S. Crim
Nov 20 at 20:30












Hint: The variance of a sum of independent random variables is the sum of the variances.
– Robert Israel
Nov 20 at 20:34






Hint: The variance of a sum of independent random variables is the sum of the variances.
– Robert Israel
Nov 20 at 20:34














@RobertIsrael Yeah I know that the $sum^n_{i=1} X_{i} sim N(0,n)$ but I remain unable to turn this into something that can tell me $mathbb{P}(sum^n_{i=1} X_{i}>a)$. Any hints for that?
– S. Crim
Nov 20 at 20:43






@RobertIsrael Yeah I know that the $sum^n_{i=1} X_{i} sim N(0,n)$ but I remain unable to turn this into something that can tell me $mathbb{P}(sum^n_{i=1} X_{i}>a)$. Any hints for that?
– S. Crim
Nov 20 at 20:43












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For a R.V. $Y sim N(0,sigma^2)$, by definition:



$P(Y leq y) = int_{-infty}^y frac{1}{sigma sqrt{2 pi}}e^{-x^2/2 sigma^2}dx$.



Let's substitute $u = x/sigma$ to get:



$P(Y leq y) = int_{-infty}^{y/sigma} frac{1}{sqrt{2 pi}} e^{-u^2/2} du = Phi left(frac{y}{sigma} right)$



where $Phi$ is the cumulative distribution function of a standard normal variable (which has zero mean and unit variance). You can evaluate $Phi$ in any mathematical package or from printed or online Z tables.



In your specific case, as many have pointed out, $ Y = sum_{i=1}^n X_i$ has mean 0 and variance $sigma^2 = n$, which means you need to evaluate $Phi(y/n)$ to compute $P(Y leq y)$.






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    1 Answer
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    1 Answer
    1






    active

    oldest

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    active

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    active

    oldest

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    up vote
    2
    down vote



    accepted










    For a R.V. $Y sim N(0,sigma^2)$, by definition:



    $P(Y leq y) = int_{-infty}^y frac{1}{sigma sqrt{2 pi}}e^{-x^2/2 sigma^2}dx$.



    Let's substitute $u = x/sigma$ to get:



    $P(Y leq y) = int_{-infty}^{y/sigma} frac{1}{sqrt{2 pi}} e^{-u^2/2} du = Phi left(frac{y}{sigma} right)$



    where $Phi$ is the cumulative distribution function of a standard normal variable (which has zero mean and unit variance). You can evaluate $Phi$ in any mathematical package or from printed or online Z tables.



    In your specific case, as many have pointed out, $ Y = sum_{i=1}^n X_i$ has mean 0 and variance $sigma^2 = n$, which means you need to evaluate $Phi(y/n)$ to compute $P(Y leq y)$.






    share|cite|improve this answer

























      up vote
      2
      down vote



      accepted










      For a R.V. $Y sim N(0,sigma^2)$, by definition:



      $P(Y leq y) = int_{-infty}^y frac{1}{sigma sqrt{2 pi}}e^{-x^2/2 sigma^2}dx$.



      Let's substitute $u = x/sigma$ to get:



      $P(Y leq y) = int_{-infty}^{y/sigma} frac{1}{sqrt{2 pi}} e^{-u^2/2} du = Phi left(frac{y}{sigma} right)$



      where $Phi$ is the cumulative distribution function of a standard normal variable (which has zero mean and unit variance). You can evaluate $Phi$ in any mathematical package or from printed or online Z tables.



      In your specific case, as many have pointed out, $ Y = sum_{i=1}^n X_i$ has mean 0 and variance $sigma^2 = n$, which means you need to evaluate $Phi(y/n)$ to compute $P(Y leq y)$.






      share|cite|improve this answer























        up vote
        2
        down vote



        accepted







        up vote
        2
        down vote



        accepted






        For a R.V. $Y sim N(0,sigma^2)$, by definition:



        $P(Y leq y) = int_{-infty}^y frac{1}{sigma sqrt{2 pi}}e^{-x^2/2 sigma^2}dx$.



        Let's substitute $u = x/sigma$ to get:



        $P(Y leq y) = int_{-infty}^{y/sigma} frac{1}{sqrt{2 pi}} e^{-u^2/2} du = Phi left(frac{y}{sigma} right)$



        where $Phi$ is the cumulative distribution function of a standard normal variable (which has zero mean and unit variance). You can evaluate $Phi$ in any mathematical package or from printed or online Z tables.



        In your specific case, as many have pointed out, $ Y = sum_{i=1}^n X_i$ has mean 0 and variance $sigma^2 = n$, which means you need to evaluate $Phi(y/n)$ to compute $P(Y leq y)$.






        share|cite|improve this answer












        For a R.V. $Y sim N(0,sigma^2)$, by definition:



        $P(Y leq y) = int_{-infty}^y frac{1}{sigma sqrt{2 pi}}e^{-x^2/2 sigma^2}dx$.



        Let's substitute $u = x/sigma$ to get:



        $P(Y leq y) = int_{-infty}^{y/sigma} frac{1}{sqrt{2 pi}} e^{-u^2/2} du = Phi left(frac{y}{sigma} right)$



        where $Phi$ is the cumulative distribution function of a standard normal variable (which has zero mean and unit variance). You can evaluate $Phi$ in any mathematical package or from printed or online Z tables.



        In your specific case, as many have pointed out, $ Y = sum_{i=1}^n X_i$ has mean 0 and variance $sigma^2 = n$, which means you need to evaluate $Phi(y/n)$ to compute $P(Y leq y)$.







        share|cite|improve this answer












        share|cite|improve this answer



        share|cite|improve this answer










        answered Nov 20 at 21:00









        Aditya Dua

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