Probability for Uniform distributions











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Two people decide to meet at a cafeteria sometime between 12:00 and 13:00. If, each and one of them arrive at random chosen times during the hour, and wait 45 minutes on each other (or until the clock strikes 13:00). What is the probability that they will meet?



My teacher told me that this can be solved drawing a quadrate, with I think 0 and 1 at each corner, respectively. Drawing a graph, and finding a cross-section would then yield the answer. The problem is I don't know how to do the graphs. He alse told me that the time each person waits may be regarded as a uniform distribution. So, my guess is that he means that



$$
t_1 in U(0,60), t_2 in U(0,60)
$$



But from here i don't know where to go. Anyone?










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  • Similar to math.stackexchange.com/questions/103015/… or other questions linked to it
    – Henry
    Nov 26 at 18:51










  • The arrival time of each person is a uniform random variable like you mentioned. They will meet if the difference in arrival times is less than 45 minutes. So you need to calculate $P(|t_1-t_2|<45)$
    – gd1035
    Nov 26 at 18:51















up vote
1
down vote

favorite












Two people decide to meet at a cafeteria sometime between 12:00 and 13:00. If, each and one of them arrive at random chosen times during the hour, and wait 45 minutes on each other (or until the clock strikes 13:00). What is the probability that they will meet?



My teacher told me that this can be solved drawing a quadrate, with I think 0 and 1 at each corner, respectively. Drawing a graph, and finding a cross-section would then yield the answer. The problem is I don't know how to do the graphs. He alse told me that the time each person waits may be regarded as a uniform distribution. So, my guess is that he means that



$$
t_1 in U(0,60), t_2 in U(0,60)
$$



But from here i don't know where to go. Anyone?










share|cite|improve this question






















  • Similar to math.stackexchange.com/questions/103015/… or other questions linked to it
    – Henry
    Nov 26 at 18:51










  • The arrival time of each person is a uniform random variable like you mentioned. They will meet if the difference in arrival times is less than 45 minutes. So you need to calculate $P(|t_1-t_2|<45)$
    – gd1035
    Nov 26 at 18:51













up vote
1
down vote

favorite









up vote
1
down vote

favorite











Two people decide to meet at a cafeteria sometime between 12:00 and 13:00. If, each and one of them arrive at random chosen times during the hour, and wait 45 minutes on each other (or until the clock strikes 13:00). What is the probability that they will meet?



My teacher told me that this can be solved drawing a quadrate, with I think 0 and 1 at each corner, respectively. Drawing a graph, and finding a cross-section would then yield the answer. The problem is I don't know how to do the graphs. He alse told me that the time each person waits may be regarded as a uniform distribution. So, my guess is that he means that



$$
t_1 in U(0,60), t_2 in U(0,60)
$$



But from here i don't know where to go. Anyone?










share|cite|improve this question













Two people decide to meet at a cafeteria sometime between 12:00 and 13:00. If, each and one of them arrive at random chosen times during the hour, and wait 45 minutes on each other (or until the clock strikes 13:00). What is the probability that they will meet?



My teacher told me that this can be solved drawing a quadrate, with I think 0 and 1 at each corner, respectively. Drawing a graph, and finding a cross-section would then yield the answer. The problem is I don't know how to do the graphs. He alse told me that the time each person waits may be regarded as a uniform distribution. So, my guess is that he means that



$$
t_1 in U(0,60), t_2 in U(0,60)
$$



But from here i don't know where to go. Anyone?







probability-theory uniform-distribution






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asked Nov 26 at 18:40









Kristoffer Jerzy Linder

316




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  • Similar to math.stackexchange.com/questions/103015/… or other questions linked to it
    – Henry
    Nov 26 at 18:51










  • The arrival time of each person is a uniform random variable like you mentioned. They will meet if the difference in arrival times is less than 45 minutes. So you need to calculate $P(|t_1-t_2|<45)$
    – gd1035
    Nov 26 at 18:51


















  • Similar to math.stackexchange.com/questions/103015/… or other questions linked to it
    – Henry
    Nov 26 at 18:51










  • The arrival time of each person is a uniform random variable like you mentioned. They will meet if the difference in arrival times is less than 45 minutes. So you need to calculate $P(|t_1-t_2|<45)$
    – gd1035
    Nov 26 at 18:51
















Similar to math.stackexchange.com/questions/103015/… or other questions linked to it
– Henry
Nov 26 at 18:51




Similar to math.stackexchange.com/questions/103015/… or other questions linked to it
– Henry
Nov 26 at 18:51












The arrival time of each person is a uniform random variable like you mentioned. They will meet if the difference in arrival times is less than 45 minutes. So you need to calculate $P(|t_1-t_2|<45)$
– gd1035
Nov 26 at 18:51




The arrival time of each person is a uniform random variable like you mentioned. They will meet if the difference in arrival times is less than 45 minutes. So you need to calculate $P(|t_1-t_2|<45)$
– gd1035
Nov 26 at 18:51










2 Answers
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1
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Here is a plot of the starting time in minutes for $x$ (horizontal) and $y$ (vertical) and the cases where they will meet. Formally: $(x,y) s.t. |x-y| leq 45 wedge 0 leq x leq 60 wedge 0 leq y leq 60$.



enter image description here



The area of this region divided by the total possible region is the probability they will meet: $15/16$.






share|cite|improve this answer























  • Finally, I understand how to use the box. Thank You :-D
    – Kristoffer Jerzy Linder
    Nov 26 at 19:35


















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0
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For simplicity, imagine they wait the full time regardless of whether they meet.



Anyone arriving after 12:15 will wait less than 45 minutes.



There's a $frac14$ chance for each of them that they'll actually wait 45 minutes.



Consider the cases where neither of them wait the full 45 minutes.

Trick question: What's the probability they meet?



Consider the cases where both of them wait the full 45 minutes.

Trick question: What's the probability they meet?



In the remaining cases, one of their arrivals is uniformly distributed from 12:00 to 12:15; consider that as a distribution of time earlier than 12:15 that they arrive.

The other arrival is uniformly distributed from 12:15 to 13:00; consider that as a distribution of time after 12:15 that they arrive.

They'll meet if the sum of those two times is less than 45 minutes.



I don't know what a quadrate is in this context, but it sounds like you have the tools you need to figure out the probability of that sum being less than 45 minutes, and to combine all the cases into a net probability.






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    2 Answers
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    2 Answers
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    up vote
    1
    down vote













    Here is a plot of the starting time in minutes for $x$ (horizontal) and $y$ (vertical) and the cases where they will meet. Formally: $(x,y) s.t. |x-y| leq 45 wedge 0 leq x leq 60 wedge 0 leq y leq 60$.



    enter image description here



    The area of this region divided by the total possible region is the probability they will meet: $15/16$.






    share|cite|improve this answer























    • Finally, I understand how to use the box. Thank You :-D
      – Kristoffer Jerzy Linder
      Nov 26 at 19:35















    up vote
    1
    down vote













    Here is a plot of the starting time in minutes for $x$ (horizontal) and $y$ (vertical) and the cases where they will meet. Formally: $(x,y) s.t. |x-y| leq 45 wedge 0 leq x leq 60 wedge 0 leq y leq 60$.



    enter image description here



    The area of this region divided by the total possible region is the probability they will meet: $15/16$.






    share|cite|improve this answer























    • Finally, I understand how to use the box. Thank You :-D
      – Kristoffer Jerzy Linder
      Nov 26 at 19:35













    up vote
    1
    down vote










    up vote
    1
    down vote









    Here is a plot of the starting time in minutes for $x$ (horizontal) and $y$ (vertical) and the cases where they will meet. Formally: $(x,y) s.t. |x-y| leq 45 wedge 0 leq x leq 60 wedge 0 leq y leq 60$.



    enter image description here



    The area of this region divided by the total possible region is the probability they will meet: $15/16$.






    share|cite|improve this answer














    Here is a plot of the starting time in minutes for $x$ (horizontal) and $y$ (vertical) and the cases where they will meet. Formally: $(x,y) s.t. |x-y| leq 45 wedge 0 leq x leq 60 wedge 0 leq y leq 60$.



    enter image description here



    The area of this region divided by the total possible region is the probability they will meet: $15/16$.







    share|cite|improve this answer














    share|cite|improve this answer



    share|cite|improve this answer








    edited Nov 26 at 19:47

























    answered Nov 26 at 19:30









    David G. Stork

    9,33721232




    9,33721232












    • Finally, I understand how to use the box. Thank You :-D
      – Kristoffer Jerzy Linder
      Nov 26 at 19:35


















    • Finally, I understand how to use the box. Thank You :-D
      – Kristoffer Jerzy Linder
      Nov 26 at 19:35
















    Finally, I understand how to use the box. Thank You :-D
    – Kristoffer Jerzy Linder
    Nov 26 at 19:35




    Finally, I understand how to use the box. Thank You :-D
    – Kristoffer Jerzy Linder
    Nov 26 at 19:35










    up vote
    0
    down vote













    For simplicity, imagine they wait the full time regardless of whether they meet.



    Anyone arriving after 12:15 will wait less than 45 minutes.



    There's a $frac14$ chance for each of them that they'll actually wait 45 minutes.



    Consider the cases where neither of them wait the full 45 minutes.

    Trick question: What's the probability they meet?



    Consider the cases where both of them wait the full 45 minutes.

    Trick question: What's the probability they meet?



    In the remaining cases, one of their arrivals is uniformly distributed from 12:00 to 12:15; consider that as a distribution of time earlier than 12:15 that they arrive.

    The other arrival is uniformly distributed from 12:15 to 13:00; consider that as a distribution of time after 12:15 that they arrive.

    They'll meet if the sum of those two times is less than 45 minutes.



    I don't know what a quadrate is in this context, but it sounds like you have the tools you need to figure out the probability of that sum being less than 45 minutes, and to combine all the cases into a net probability.






    share|cite|improve this answer

























      up vote
      0
      down vote













      For simplicity, imagine they wait the full time regardless of whether they meet.



      Anyone arriving after 12:15 will wait less than 45 minutes.



      There's a $frac14$ chance for each of them that they'll actually wait 45 minutes.



      Consider the cases where neither of them wait the full 45 minutes.

      Trick question: What's the probability they meet?



      Consider the cases where both of them wait the full 45 minutes.

      Trick question: What's the probability they meet?



      In the remaining cases, one of their arrivals is uniformly distributed from 12:00 to 12:15; consider that as a distribution of time earlier than 12:15 that they arrive.

      The other arrival is uniformly distributed from 12:15 to 13:00; consider that as a distribution of time after 12:15 that they arrive.

      They'll meet if the sum of those two times is less than 45 minutes.



      I don't know what a quadrate is in this context, but it sounds like you have the tools you need to figure out the probability of that sum being less than 45 minutes, and to combine all the cases into a net probability.






      share|cite|improve this answer























        up vote
        0
        down vote










        up vote
        0
        down vote









        For simplicity, imagine they wait the full time regardless of whether they meet.



        Anyone arriving after 12:15 will wait less than 45 minutes.



        There's a $frac14$ chance for each of them that they'll actually wait 45 minutes.



        Consider the cases where neither of them wait the full 45 minutes.

        Trick question: What's the probability they meet?



        Consider the cases where both of them wait the full 45 minutes.

        Trick question: What's the probability they meet?



        In the remaining cases, one of their arrivals is uniformly distributed from 12:00 to 12:15; consider that as a distribution of time earlier than 12:15 that they arrive.

        The other arrival is uniformly distributed from 12:15 to 13:00; consider that as a distribution of time after 12:15 that they arrive.

        They'll meet if the sum of those two times is less than 45 minutes.



        I don't know what a quadrate is in this context, but it sounds like you have the tools you need to figure out the probability of that sum being less than 45 minutes, and to combine all the cases into a net probability.






        share|cite|improve this answer












        For simplicity, imagine they wait the full time regardless of whether they meet.



        Anyone arriving after 12:15 will wait less than 45 minutes.



        There's a $frac14$ chance for each of them that they'll actually wait 45 minutes.



        Consider the cases where neither of them wait the full 45 minutes.

        Trick question: What's the probability they meet?



        Consider the cases where both of them wait the full 45 minutes.

        Trick question: What's the probability they meet?



        In the remaining cases, one of their arrivals is uniformly distributed from 12:00 to 12:15; consider that as a distribution of time earlier than 12:15 that they arrive.

        The other arrival is uniformly distributed from 12:15 to 13:00; consider that as a distribution of time after 12:15 that they arrive.

        They'll meet if the sum of those two times is less than 45 minutes.



        I don't know what a quadrate is in this context, but it sounds like you have the tools you need to figure out the probability of that sum being less than 45 minutes, and to combine all the cases into a net probability.







        share|cite|improve this answer












        share|cite|improve this answer



        share|cite|improve this answer










        answered Nov 26 at 19:04









        ShapeOfMatter

        313




        313






























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