Using normal distribution to calculate $P(52.1 < bar{x} < 53.9)$











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I am given the following question in one of the lectures I was looking through.



Suppose a random sample of size $n = 400$ is to be selected from a population of size $N = 2000$. A quantitative characteristic of $x$ is of interest. Suppose that the population has mean $mu= 53$ and standard deviation $sigma= 10$. Let $bar{x}$ denote the sample average. Use the normal distribution to calculate the probability that $bar{x}$ falls between $52.1$ and $53.9$, that is, calculate $P(52.1 < bar{x} < 53.9)$



(a) $0.75$



(b) $0.87$



(c) $0.93$



(d) $0.95$



My steps were as follows:



$$Z = frac{(52.1-53)}{frac{10}{sqrt{400}}} = -1.8$$



and



$$Z = frac{(53.9-53)}{frac{10}{sqrt{400}}} = 1.8$$



I went to a $z$ score table and got the values of $.0359$ and $.9641$ respectively. I want the area between these values which is $$0.9641 - 0.0359 = 0.9282$$ so I figured the answer is (c) $0.93$, but the correct answer is (d) $0.95$.



Where am I going wrong in my calculations?










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    I am given the following question in one of the lectures I was looking through.



    Suppose a random sample of size $n = 400$ is to be selected from a population of size $N = 2000$. A quantitative characteristic of $x$ is of interest. Suppose that the population has mean $mu= 53$ and standard deviation $sigma= 10$. Let $bar{x}$ denote the sample average. Use the normal distribution to calculate the probability that $bar{x}$ falls between $52.1$ and $53.9$, that is, calculate $P(52.1 < bar{x} < 53.9)$



    (a) $0.75$



    (b) $0.87$



    (c) $0.93$



    (d) $0.95$



    My steps were as follows:



    $$Z = frac{(52.1-53)}{frac{10}{sqrt{400}}} = -1.8$$



    and



    $$Z = frac{(53.9-53)}{frac{10}{sqrt{400}}} = 1.8$$



    I went to a $z$ score table and got the values of $.0359$ and $.9641$ respectively. I want the area between these values which is $$0.9641 - 0.0359 = 0.9282$$ so I figured the answer is (c) $0.93$, but the correct answer is (d) $0.95$.



    Where am I going wrong in my calculations?










    share|cite|improve this question


























      up vote
      0
      down vote

      favorite









      up vote
      0
      down vote

      favorite











      I am given the following question in one of the lectures I was looking through.



      Suppose a random sample of size $n = 400$ is to be selected from a population of size $N = 2000$. A quantitative characteristic of $x$ is of interest. Suppose that the population has mean $mu= 53$ and standard deviation $sigma= 10$. Let $bar{x}$ denote the sample average. Use the normal distribution to calculate the probability that $bar{x}$ falls between $52.1$ and $53.9$, that is, calculate $P(52.1 < bar{x} < 53.9)$



      (a) $0.75$



      (b) $0.87$



      (c) $0.93$



      (d) $0.95$



      My steps were as follows:



      $$Z = frac{(52.1-53)}{frac{10}{sqrt{400}}} = -1.8$$



      and



      $$Z = frac{(53.9-53)}{frac{10}{sqrt{400}}} = 1.8$$



      I went to a $z$ score table and got the values of $.0359$ and $.9641$ respectively. I want the area between these values which is $$0.9641 - 0.0359 = 0.9282$$ so I figured the answer is (c) $0.93$, but the correct answer is (d) $0.95$.



      Where am I going wrong in my calculations?










      share|cite|improve this question















      I am given the following question in one of the lectures I was looking through.



      Suppose a random sample of size $n = 400$ is to be selected from a population of size $N = 2000$. A quantitative characteristic of $x$ is of interest. Suppose that the population has mean $mu= 53$ and standard deviation $sigma= 10$. Let $bar{x}$ denote the sample average. Use the normal distribution to calculate the probability that $bar{x}$ falls between $52.1$ and $53.9$, that is, calculate $P(52.1 < bar{x} < 53.9)$



      (a) $0.75$



      (b) $0.87$



      (c) $0.93$



      (d) $0.95$



      My steps were as follows:



      $$Z = frac{(52.1-53)}{frac{10}{sqrt{400}}} = -1.8$$



      and



      $$Z = frac{(53.9-53)}{frac{10}{sqrt{400}}} = 1.8$$



      I went to a $z$ score table and got the values of $.0359$ and $.9641$ respectively. I want the area between these values which is $$0.9641 - 0.0359 = 0.9282$$ so I figured the answer is (c) $0.93$, but the correct answer is (d) $0.95$.



      Where am I going wrong in my calculations?







      normal-distribution sampling






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      edited Nov 27 at 11:25









      Tianlalu

      3,0101938




      3,0101938










      asked Nov 27 at 7:08









      shazzam

      31




      31






















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          You must use the finite population correction factor, because:
          $$frac nN=frac{400}{2000}=0.2>0.05.$$
          So, the standard deviation of the sampling distribution of the sample means (or standard error) is:
          $$sigma_{bar{x}}=frac{sigma}{sqrt{n}}cdot sqrt{frac{N-n}{N-1}}$$
          so you must have:
          $$P(52.1 < bar{x} < 53.9)=\
          Pleft(frac{52.1-53}{frac{10}{sqrt{400}}cdot sqrt{frac{2000-400}{2000-1}}}<z<frac{53.9-53}{frac{10}{sqrt{400}}cdot sqrt{frac{2000-400}{2000-1}}}right)approx\
          P(-2.01<z<2.01)approx 0.95.$$






          share|cite|improve this answer





















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            1 Answer
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            active

            oldest

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            1 Answer
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            active

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            active

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            active

            oldest

            votes








            up vote
            0
            down vote



            accepted










            You must use the finite population correction factor, because:
            $$frac nN=frac{400}{2000}=0.2>0.05.$$
            So, the standard deviation of the sampling distribution of the sample means (or standard error) is:
            $$sigma_{bar{x}}=frac{sigma}{sqrt{n}}cdot sqrt{frac{N-n}{N-1}}$$
            so you must have:
            $$P(52.1 < bar{x} < 53.9)=\
            Pleft(frac{52.1-53}{frac{10}{sqrt{400}}cdot sqrt{frac{2000-400}{2000-1}}}<z<frac{53.9-53}{frac{10}{sqrt{400}}cdot sqrt{frac{2000-400}{2000-1}}}right)approx\
            P(-2.01<z<2.01)approx 0.95.$$






            share|cite|improve this answer

























              up vote
              0
              down vote



              accepted










              You must use the finite population correction factor, because:
              $$frac nN=frac{400}{2000}=0.2>0.05.$$
              So, the standard deviation of the sampling distribution of the sample means (or standard error) is:
              $$sigma_{bar{x}}=frac{sigma}{sqrt{n}}cdot sqrt{frac{N-n}{N-1}}$$
              so you must have:
              $$P(52.1 < bar{x} < 53.9)=\
              Pleft(frac{52.1-53}{frac{10}{sqrt{400}}cdot sqrt{frac{2000-400}{2000-1}}}<z<frac{53.9-53}{frac{10}{sqrt{400}}cdot sqrt{frac{2000-400}{2000-1}}}right)approx\
              P(-2.01<z<2.01)approx 0.95.$$






              share|cite|improve this answer























                up vote
                0
                down vote



                accepted







                up vote
                0
                down vote



                accepted






                You must use the finite population correction factor, because:
                $$frac nN=frac{400}{2000}=0.2>0.05.$$
                So, the standard deviation of the sampling distribution of the sample means (or standard error) is:
                $$sigma_{bar{x}}=frac{sigma}{sqrt{n}}cdot sqrt{frac{N-n}{N-1}}$$
                so you must have:
                $$P(52.1 < bar{x} < 53.9)=\
                Pleft(frac{52.1-53}{frac{10}{sqrt{400}}cdot sqrt{frac{2000-400}{2000-1}}}<z<frac{53.9-53}{frac{10}{sqrt{400}}cdot sqrt{frac{2000-400}{2000-1}}}right)approx\
                P(-2.01<z<2.01)approx 0.95.$$






                share|cite|improve this answer












                You must use the finite population correction factor, because:
                $$frac nN=frac{400}{2000}=0.2>0.05.$$
                So, the standard deviation of the sampling distribution of the sample means (or standard error) is:
                $$sigma_{bar{x}}=frac{sigma}{sqrt{n}}cdot sqrt{frac{N-n}{N-1}}$$
                so you must have:
                $$P(52.1 < bar{x} < 53.9)=\
                Pleft(frac{52.1-53}{frac{10}{sqrt{400}}cdot sqrt{frac{2000-400}{2000-1}}}<z<frac{53.9-53}{frac{10}{sqrt{400}}cdot sqrt{frac{2000-400}{2000-1}}}right)approx\
                P(-2.01<z<2.01)approx 0.95.$$







                share|cite|improve this answer












                share|cite|improve this answer



                share|cite|improve this answer










                answered Nov 27 at 14:54









                farruhota

                18.7k2736




                18.7k2736






























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