Conditional Probability on Cards of the Same Suit











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A normal deck of 52 playing cards is well shuffled and then 4 cards are dealt to Ann and 4 cards ar dealt to Bob. Ann looks at her c that all 4 of them are from the same suit, that suit being hearts. She is interested in the probability that Bob also has 4 cards that belong to a single suit, allowing for her knowledge of the cards she holds.



Please correct my answer if it is incorrect:
$$text{Probability}=P(text{Bob has all hearts} |text{Ann has all hearts})+P(text{Bob has all clubs/spades/diamonds}|text{Ann has all hearts})$$



$$=frac{binom{9}{4}}{binom{48}{4}}+frac{binom{3}{1}timesbinom{13}{4}}{binom{48}{4}}$$



$$=frac{757}{64860}$$



I am aware that this is a conditional probability, but I was unsure how to apply Bayes' Theorem in this scenario.










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    A normal deck of 52 playing cards is well shuffled and then 4 cards are dealt to Ann and 4 cards ar dealt to Bob. Ann looks at her c that all 4 of them are from the same suit, that suit being hearts. She is interested in the probability that Bob also has 4 cards that belong to a single suit, allowing for her knowledge of the cards she holds.



    Please correct my answer if it is incorrect:
    $$text{Probability}=P(text{Bob has all hearts} |text{Ann has all hearts})+P(text{Bob has all clubs/spades/diamonds}|text{Ann has all hearts})$$



    $$=frac{binom{9}{4}}{binom{48}{4}}+frac{binom{3}{1}timesbinom{13}{4}}{binom{48}{4}}$$



    $$=frac{757}{64860}$$



    I am aware that this is a conditional probability, but I was unsure how to apply Bayes' Theorem in this scenario.










    share|cite|improve this question
























      up vote
      2
      down vote

      favorite









      up vote
      2
      down vote

      favorite











      A normal deck of 52 playing cards is well shuffled and then 4 cards are dealt to Ann and 4 cards ar dealt to Bob. Ann looks at her c that all 4 of them are from the same suit, that suit being hearts. She is interested in the probability that Bob also has 4 cards that belong to a single suit, allowing for her knowledge of the cards she holds.



      Please correct my answer if it is incorrect:
      $$text{Probability}=P(text{Bob has all hearts} |text{Ann has all hearts})+P(text{Bob has all clubs/spades/diamonds}|text{Ann has all hearts})$$



      $$=frac{binom{9}{4}}{binom{48}{4}}+frac{binom{3}{1}timesbinom{13}{4}}{binom{48}{4}}$$



      $$=frac{757}{64860}$$



      I am aware that this is a conditional probability, but I was unsure how to apply Bayes' Theorem in this scenario.










      share|cite|improve this question













      A normal deck of 52 playing cards is well shuffled and then 4 cards are dealt to Ann and 4 cards ar dealt to Bob. Ann looks at her c that all 4 of them are from the same suit, that suit being hearts. She is interested in the probability that Bob also has 4 cards that belong to a single suit, allowing for her knowledge of the cards she holds.



      Please correct my answer if it is incorrect:
      $$text{Probability}=P(text{Bob has all hearts} |text{Ann has all hearts})+P(text{Bob has all clubs/spades/diamonds}|text{Ann has all hearts})$$



      $$=frac{binom{9}{4}}{binom{48}{4}}+frac{binom{3}{1}timesbinom{13}{4}}{binom{48}{4}}$$



      $$=frac{757}{64860}$$



      I am aware that this is a conditional probability, but I was unsure how to apply Bayes' Theorem in this scenario.







      probability combinations






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      asked 16 hours ago









      An Invisible Carrot

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          $P(A)$ = P(Anne has all hearts) =$$frac{ ^{13}C_4}{^{52}C_4}$$
          $P(B)$ = P(Bod has same suite) =$$frac{^{13}C_4cdot ^3C_1+^9C_4}{^{52}C_4}$$




          Using:
          $$P(Bmid A)=frac{P( A ∩ B)}{P(A)}$$




          P(A ∩ B)=$$frac{(^{13}C_4 cdot 3+ ^{9}C_4)cdot ^{13}C_4}{^{52}C_8}$$



          You get: $$P(Bmid A)=(frac {(^{13}C_4 cdot 3+ ^{9}C_4)cdot ^{13}C_4}{^{52}C_8 })cdot(frac{^{52}C_4}{^{13}C_4})$$






          share|cite|improve this answer























          • To obtain $P(B mid A)$, type $P(B mid A)$. Also, check your last line.
            – N. F. Taussig
            15 hours ago










          • @N.F.Taussig thanks for that, but whats wrong in last line?
            – idea
            14 hours ago










          • Your probability is greater than $1$.
            – N. F. Taussig
            14 hours ago






          • 1




            @N.F.Taussig Yeah...$C(52,8)$. And i later added $C(4,1)$ to select a suite-heart; but we dont need to it seems...
            – idea
            13 hours ago








          • 1




            @N.F.Taussig And Thanks, for taking me through this. Got to learn something new.
            – idea
            12 hours ago











          Your Answer





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          $P(A)$ = P(Anne has all hearts) =$$frac{ ^{13}C_4}{^{52}C_4}$$
          $P(B)$ = P(Bod has same suite) =$$frac{^{13}C_4cdot ^3C_1+^9C_4}{^{52}C_4}$$




          Using:
          $$P(Bmid A)=frac{P( A ∩ B)}{P(A)}$$




          P(A ∩ B)=$$frac{(^{13}C_4 cdot 3+ ^{9}C_4)cdot ^{13}C_4}{^{52}C_8}$$



          You get: $$P(Bmid A)=(frac {(^{13}C_4 cdot 3+ ^{9}C_4)cdot ^{13}C_4}{^{52}C_8 })cdot(frac{^{52}C_4}{^{13}C_4})$$






          share|cite|improve this answer























          • To obtain $P(B mid A)$, type $P(B mid A)$. Also, check your last line.
            – N. F. Taussig
            15 hours ago










          • @N.F.Taussig thanks for that, but whats wrong in last line?
            – idea
            14 hours ago










          • Your probability is greater than $1$.
            – N. F. Taussig
            14 hours ago






          • 1




            @N.F.Taussig Yeah...$C(52,8)$. And i later added $C(4,1)$ to select a suite-heart; but we dont need to it seems...
            – idea
            13 hours ago








          • 1




            @N.F.Taussig And Thanks, for taking me through this. Got to learn something new.
            – idea
            12 hours ago















          up vote
          1
          down vote













          $P(A)$ = P(Anne has all hearts) =$$frac{ ^{13}C_4}{^{52}C_4}$$
          $P(B)$ = P(Bod has same suite) =$$frac{^{13}C_4cdot ^3C_1+^9C_4}{^{52}C_4}$$




          Using:
          $$P(Bmid A)=frac{P( A ∩ B)}{P(A)}$$




          P(A ∩ B)=$$frac{(^{13}C_4 cdot 3+ ^{9}C_4)cdot ^{13}C_4}{^{52}C_8}$$



          You get: $$P(Bmid A)=(frac {(^{13}C_4 cdot 3+ ^{9}C_4)cdot ^{13}C_4}{^{52}C_8 })cdot(frac{^{52}C_4}{^{13}C_4})$$






          share|cite|improve this answer























          • To obtain $P(B mid A)$, type $P(B mid A)$. Also, check your last line.
            – N. F. Taussig
            15 hours ago










          • @N.F.Taussig thanks for that, but whats wrong in last line?
            – idea
            14 hours ago










          • Your probability is greater than $1$.
            – N. F. Taussig
            14 hours ago






          • 1




            @N.F.Taussig Yeah...$C(52,8)$. And i later added $C(4,1)$ to select a suite-heart; but we dont need to it seems...
            – idea
            13 hours ago








          • 1




            @N.F.Taussig And Thanks, for taking me through this. Got to learn something new.
            – idea
            12 hours ago













          up vote
          1
          down vote










          up vote
          1
          down vote









          $P(A)$ = P(Anne has all hearts) =$$frac{ ^{13}C_4}{^{52}C_4}$$
          $P(B)$ = P(Bod has same suite) =$$frac{^{13}C_4cdot ^3C_1+^9C_4}{^{52}C_4}$$




          Using:
          $$P(Bmid A)=frac{P( A ∩ B)}{P(A)}$$




          P(A ∩ B)=$$frac{(^{13}C_4 cdot 3+ ^{9}C_4)cdot ^{13}C_4}{^{52}C_8}$$



          You get: $$P(Bmid A)=(frac {(^{13}C_4 cdot 3+ ^{9}C_4)cdot ^{13}C_4}{^{52}C_8 })cdot(frac{^{52}C_4}{^{13}C_4})$$






          share|cite|improve this answer














          $P(A)$ = P(Anne has all hearts) =$$frac{ ^{13}C_4}{^{52}C_4}$$
          $P(B)$ = P(Bod has same suite) =$$frac{^{13}C_4cdot ^3C_1+^9C_4}{^{52}C_4}$$




          Using:
          $$P(Bmid A)=frac{P( A ∩ B)}{P(A)}$$




          P(A ∩ B)=$$frac{(^{13}C_4 cdot 3+ ^{9}C_4)cdot ^{13}C_4}{^{52}C_8}$$



          You get: $$P(Bmid A)=(frac {(^{13}C_4 cdot 3+ ^{9}C_4)cdot ^{13}C_4}{^{52}C_8 })cdot(frac{^{52}C_4}{^{13}C_4})$$







          share|cite|improve this answer














          share|cite|improve this answer



          share|cite|improve this answer








          edited 11 hours ago

























          answered 15 hours ago









          idea

          2,0112923




          2,0112923












          • To obtain $P(B mid A)$, type $P(B mid A)$. Also, check your last line.
            – N. F. Taussig
            15 hours ago










          • @N.F.Taussig thanks for that, but whats wrong in last line?
            – idea
            14 hours ago










          • Your probability is greater than $1$.
            – N. F. Taussig
            14 hours ago






          • 1




            @N.F.Taussig Yeah...$C(52,8)$. And i later added $C(4,1)$ to select a suite-heart; but we dont need to it seems...
            – idea
            13 hours ago








          • 1




            @N.F.Taussig And Thanks, for taking me through this. Got to learn something new.
            – idea
            12 hours ago


















          • To obtain $P(B mid A)$, type $P(B mid A)$. Also, check your last line.
            – N. F. Taussig
            15 hours ago










          • @N.F.Taussig thanks for that, but whats wrong in last line?
            – idea
            14 hours ago










          • Your probability is greater than $1$.
            – N. F. Taussig
            14 hours ago






          • 1




            @N.F.Taussig Yeah...$C(52,8)$. And i later added $C(4,1)$ to select a suite-heart; but we dont need to it seems...
            – idea
            13 hours ago








          • 1




            @N.F.Taussig And Thanks, for taking me through this. Got to learn something new.
            – idea
            12 hours ago
















          To obtain $P(B mid A)$, type $P(B mid A)$. Also, check your last line.
          – N. F. Taussig
          15 hours ago




          To obtain $P(B mid A)$, type $P(B mid A)$. Also, check your last line.
          – N. F. Taussig
          15 hours ago












          @N.F.Taussig thanks for that, but whats wrong in last line?
          – idea
          14 hours ago




          @N.F.Taussig thanks for that, but whats wrong in last line?
          – idea
          14 hours ago












          Your probability is greater than $1$.
          – N. F. Taussig
          14 hours ago




          Your probability is greater than $1$.
          – N. F. Taussig
          14 hours ago




          1




          1




          @N.F.Taussig Yeah...$C(52,8)$. And i later added $C(4,1)$ to select a suite-heart; but we dont need to it seems...
          – idea
          13 hours ago






          @N.F.Taussig Yeah...$C(52,8)$. And i later added $C(4,1)$ to select a suite-heart; but we dont need to it seems...
          – idea
          13 hours ago






          1




          1




          @N.F.Taussig And Thanks, for taking me through this. Got to learn something new.
          – idea
          12 hours ago




          @N.F.Taussig And Thanks, for taking me through this. Got to learn something new.
          – idea
          12 hours ago


















           

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