Why is this random variable Binomial distributed?











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Regarding the following question:




Find the probability that in a group of 20 individuals, there are at
least 3 individuals born in March, given that there is an individual
born in March 20.




The solution marks X as the number of individuals born in march and calculates:
$$ P(Xgeq3 | X geq 1) $$



Claiming that X is binomial distributed. But why?
What is the intuition for that? I though that binomial distribution mostly relates to experiments (like flipping a coin until "heads" shows etc), but for some reason this case doesn't look like an experiment or anything similar.



Thanks!










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  • 1




    If $X_i$ is "the i-th person is born in march, then $X=X_1+...+X_{20}$, i.e. a sum of iid Bernoulli r.v.
    – Surb
    Nov 24 at 17:10








  • 1




    There are only two outcomes, "born in March" and "not born in March." The experiment is to pick a random person, and determine if he was born in March. We perform the experiment $20$ times.
    – saulspatz
    Nov 24 at 17:52















up vote
0
down vote

favorite












Regarding the following question:




Find the probability that in a group of 20 individuals, there are at
least 3 individuals born in March, given that there is an individual
born in March 20.




The solution marks X as the number of individuals born in march and calculates:
$$ P(Xgeq3 | X geq 1) $$



Claiming that X is binomial distributed. But why?
What is the intuition for that? I though that binomial distribution mostly relates to experiments (like flipping a coin until "heads" shows etc), but for some reason this case doesn't look like an experiment or anything similar.



Thanks!










share|cite|improve this question


















  • 1




    If $X_i$ is "the i-th person is born in march, then $X=X_1+...+X_{20}$, i.e. a sum of iid Bernoulli r.v.
    – Surb
    Nov 24 at 17:10








  • 1




    There are only two outcomes, "born in March" and "not born in March." The experiment is to pick a random person, and determine if he was born in March. We perform the experiment $20$ times.
    – saulspatz
    Nov 24 at 17:52













up vote
0
down vote

favorite









up vote
0
down vote

favorite











Regarding the following question:




Find the probability that in a group of 20 individuals, there are at
least 3 individuals born in March, given that there is an individual
born in March 20.




The solution marks X as the number of individuals born in march and calculates:
$$ P(Xgeq3 | X geq 1) $$



Claiming that X is binomial distributed. But why?
What is the intuition for that? I though that binomial distribution mostly relates to experiments (like flipping a coin until "heads" shows etc), but for some reason this case doesn't look like an experiment or anything similar.



Thanks!










share|cite|improve this question













Regarding the following question:




Find the probability that in a group of 20 individuals, there are at
least 3 individuals born in March, given that there is an individual
born in March 20.




The solution marks X as the number of individuals born in march and calculates:
$$ P(Xgeq3 | X geq 1) $$



Claiming that X is binomial distributed. But why?
What is the intuition for that? I though that binomial distribution mostly relates to experiments (like flipping a coin until "heads" shows etc), but for some reason this case doesn't look like an experiment or anything similar.



Thanks!







probability probability-distributions random-variables






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asked Nov 24 at 17:07









superuser123

1686




1686








  • 1




    If $X_i$ is "the i-th person is born in march, then $X=X_1+...+X_{20}$, i.e. a sum of iid Bernoulli r.v.
    – Surb
    Nov 24 at 17:10








  • 1




    There are only two outcomes, "born in March" and "not born in March." The experiment is to pick a random person, and determine if he was born in March. We perform the experiment $20$ times.
    – saulspatz
    Nov 24 at 17:52














  • 1




    If $X_i$ is "the i-th person is born in march, then $X=X_1+...+X_{20}$, i.e. a sum of iid Bernoulli r.v.
    – Surb
    Nov 24 at 17:10








  • 1




    There are only two outcomes, "born in March" and "not born in March." The experiment is to pick a random person, and determine if he was born in March. We perform the experiment $20$ times.
    – saulspatz
    Nov 24 at 17:52








1




1




If $X_i$ is "the i-th person is born in march, then $X=X_1+...+X_{20}$, i.e. a sum of iid Bernoulli r.v.
– Surb
Nov 24 at 17:10






If $X_i$ is "the i-th person is born in march, then $X=X_1+...+X_{20}$, i.e. a sum of iid Bernoulli r.v.
– Surb
Nov 24 at 17:10






1




1




There are only two outcomes, "born in March" and "not born in March." The experiment is to pick a random person, and determine if he was born in March. We perform the experiment $20$ times.
– saulspatz
Nov 24 at 17:52




There are only two outcomes, "born in March" and "not born in March." The experiment is to pick a random person, and determine if he was born in March. We perform the experiment $20$ times.
– saulspatz
Nov 24 at 17:52















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